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Our
Philosophy
From
crib to cemetery lot, we spend our whole lives taking up real
estate. We work in it, play in it, sleep and eat in it. Real
estate is the single largest investment for most Americans.
The real
estate industry, especially the commercial business, has undergone
enormous change over the last thirty years. Today, the market
is an information business: information about owners, users,
interest rates and construction costs. Which REIT just purchased
another building and now controls the price of office space
in a particular sub-market? What is the Fed going to do at
its next meeting? How does the world price of crude oil affect
the cost of industrial space in Houston? Is job creation going
to be up or down next quarter? More and more, information
- and the quick response to it - affects the performance of
commercial real estate.
William
E. Stonaker, CCIM, SEC has spent the last twenty years in
commercial and investment real estate. Operating as Wilson
& Stonaker, L.L.C. (formerly Wilson & Stonaker, Inc.),
we know that real estate projects must compete for capital
with alternative investments such as stocks, bonds, precious
metals, minerals exploration and collectibles, etc. We know
that you want two things from your investments: preservation
of invested capital and return on investment.
As a whole,
real estate investment is not tricky or elusive. However,
hard work, focus, and persistence are needed to make any real
estate venture a success. Additionally, one must be in the
right market doing the right things at the right time. During
the early 1970's, the Metroplex was going through rapid job
growth. Almost any property you acquired went up in price
because of inflation and demand. Then came the oil shocks,
gasoline lines, and President Carter in his sweater telling
the American people to conserve. There was no oil shortage,
just a shortage at the prevailing price structure. The country
went into recession and so did the real estate market.
Then we
were "blessed" with deregulation of the savings
and loan business. Anyone with a hammer and a pickup was automatically
a developer and could borrow more than the cost of building
a project, even if he had no tenants for his project. The
Metroplex was awash in empty office buildings - see through
- outstanding projects of marble, granite, glass. The excesses
of the S&Ls caused the major banks, construction lenders
which still used good business practices in most instances,
to fail along with the more traditional real estate developers.
Along
came the FDIC, RTC, FSLIC, etc. In the mid-1980's, over 40%
of the Class A suburban office space in Dallas was controlled
by the federal government. No one was buying. Office and industrial
space was leasing at 50% of its proforma. The government's
inventory of real estate, both improved and unimproved, kept
on growing. Finally, the economy began to come back. Interest
rates were coming down and investors began to see that the
"blood on the streets" was not going to last forever.
Investors, many from out of the area, began acquiring commercial
real estate at below replacement costs, many times at 50%
or less of the original costs to build them.
That brings
us up to today. Interest rates are low and real estate investors
are enjoying natural increases in the returns of their improved
property. The real estate investment trusts are in a feeding
frenzy, buying up all kinds of improved property types: office,
retail, industrial, hospitality, multi-family and others.
The REITS have recently gotten into senior care and even gaming
properties. No property type is immune from the appetite of
the REITS as they finance their acquisitions with costs of
funds far below traditional borrowers.
Since
early 2001, the small investor has taken a very active role
in the investment market. Two events have spurred this on
more than any others: low interest rates and losses in the
stock market. Low interest rates have given the small user
of real estate the opportunity to be an owner instead of a
tenant. For instance, the number of small medical office buildings
owned in physician's IRA accounts has exploded. And the losses
in the stock market over the same period of time have caused
investors to flee to the safety of an asset class they can
control, at least to some extent.
Obviously,
we have to take "new" issues into consideration
like terrorism, government of all types changing the rules
and a much faster obsolescence. There is not much we can do
about the world terrorism except be careful where we invest
and how much we diversity. The fact that our governmental
bodies create issues such as environmental requirements, roadway
expansions and improvements and mass transit require us to
be involved at all levels of government. Obsolescence and
other issues of ownership can be controlled by good management
and planning. Do you take a hard look at each piece of real
estate you own at least once per year? If not, maybe you should.
We review our business plan on each piece of real estate we
own every quarter.
Question:
Where do we go today?
Answer: Back to the basics. Real estate investing can be broken
into three types of investment philosophy. First is the "bond"
investor - that investor who purchases the NNN deal with the
office, industrial or retail lease. He will enjoy a bond type
of yield backed by a credit company with a prime asset as
his collateral. Over time he will experience rising property
values of at least the rate of inflation.
Then there
is the more traditional investment, that piece of property
which can be upgraded, either through new or better tenants
or by a make-over of the property. Acquisition of an improved,
leased property is less risky but has less upside. Just allowing
the current leases to expire and the rent rates to reach market
levels will improve the cash flow and thus the value. Also,
one of the best ways to increase the value of a property today
is to refinance at a lower rate. Many more mature investors
are prone to this method of ownership.
And last,
but not least, there is the opportunity to create value, the
value added approach to real estate investing. One can create
value by buying and developing land, performing a complete
use change on a prime piece of real estate, or by turning
an otherwise unusable property into something that can be
utilized as in the case of environmentally challenged properties.
In today's market, we must be willing to take a little more
risk to achieve double digit returns. We must acquire land
or improved property ahead of the wave of development or to
use market knowledge to get to an area or particular event
in a sub-market ahead of our competitors.
Any way
that an investor decides to play this game, it must be done
with skill, the utmost in integrity, and up to date market
knowledge. More than at any other time in the history of commercial
real estate, market knowledge is power. And what other asset
class gives you so many options to control your account?
Answer: NONE.
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